1. Joint Modeling
1.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 4000000 iteration;
- 3000000 burn-in;
- 1000 thinning.
1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 0.999 1.00
## LDevsum 1.004 1.02
## dh0 1.086 1.34
## dh1 1.051 1.22
## dh2 1.000 1.00
## dl0 1.070 1.28
## dl1 1.020 1.10
## dl2 1.015 1.07
## dl3 1.001 1.01
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.07
1.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
1.4 WAIC results
| LevelH | LevelL | |
|---|---|---|
| DIC | 1230.028 | 22457.6467 |
| DIC3 | 1164.921 | 22514.9488 |
| PWAIC | 48.117 | 258.6646 |
| WAIC | 1196.586 | 22538.6719 |
2. Separate Modeling of High-Level
2.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 4000000 iteration;
- 3000000 burn-in;
- 1000 thinning.
2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.00 1.00
## dh0 1.22 1.81
## dh1 1.30 2.24
## dh2 1.06 1.23
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.13
2.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
2.4 WAIC results
| H2 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 1362.0155 |
| DIC3 | 1237.9944 |
| PWAIC | 86.6014 |
| WAIC | 1304.0042 |
3. Separate Modeling for Low-level
3.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 4000000 iteration;
- 3000000 burn-in;
- 1000 thinning.
3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum 1.01 1.02
## dl0 1.07 1.07
## dl1 1.03 1.09
## dl2 1.14 1.41
## dl3 1.00 1.01
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.1
3.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
3.4 WAIC results
| L4 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 22249.6137 |
| DIC3 | 22295.9811 |
| PWAIC | 313.3688 |
| WAIC | 22331.5704 |